Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.012227 0.014924 0.018352 0.023143 0.029868 0.039309 0.054243
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.008628 0.011421 0.015432 0.021945 0.033012 0.052846 0.096807
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.007024 0.009789 0.014090 0.021847 0.037102 0.070809 0.176295
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.006135 0.008906 0.013506 0.022584 0.042999 0.098869 0.367368
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.005406 0.008089 0.012767 0.022677 0.047615 0.130872 0.793617
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.004719 0.007203 0.011681 0.021643 0.048848 0.155216 1.576798
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.004241 0.006597 0.010979 0.021207 0.051557 0.192874 4.337529
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.004004 0.006378 0.010974 0.022395 0.060401 0.291865 77.863154
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.003862 0.006307 0.011248 0.024408 0.074517 0.516174 NaN
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.003729 0.006229 0.011486 0.026453 0.091891 1.011114 NaN
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.003490 0.005910 0.011123 0.026588 0.100650 1.617405 NaN
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.003271 0.005603 0.010730 0.026504 0.108604 2.659555 NaN
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002937 0.005057 0.009757 0.024447 0.103799 3.165253 NaN
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.002677 0.004640 0.009048 0.023135 0.103447 4.538702 NaN
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.002506 0.004392 0.008712 0.023029 0.112465 10.941456 NaN
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.002393 0.004254 0.008625 0.023822 0.131571 88.665611 NaN
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.002265 0.004067 0.008382 0.023923 0.145691 114388.714284 NaN
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.002107 0.003800 0.007883 0.022810 0.144928 NaN NaN
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.001988 0.003607 0.007559 0.022340 0.151777 NaN NaN
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.001936 0.003560 0.007627 0.023618 0.187716 NaN NaN
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.001910 0.003569 0.007853 0.025789 0.254399 NaN NaN
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.001880 0.003568 0.008052 0.027999 0.349636 NaN NaN
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.001805 0.003448 0.007874 0.028146 0.397693 NaN NaN